EVOL VAULT TOOLS

Pokemon TCG Pull Rate Calculator

Pick a set and the card you're chasing, and see your real odds across booster packs, bundles, Elite Trainer Boxes and booster boxes — built on community-verified pull rates.

Set

What are you chasing?

…or a specific chase card

Chasing any Special Illustration Rare in Pitch Black — lands roughly 1 in 80–125 packs.

Single Booster Pack 0.8–1.3%

1 pack

Booster Bundle 4.7–7.3%

6 packs

Elite Trainer Box (retail) 7.0–11%

9 packs

Pokemon Center ETB 8.5–13%

11 packs

Booster Box 25–36%

36 packs

Custom pack count 13–20%

packs

Mega Hyper Rare is the only tier here still shown as an estimate. Around 5,400 English packs have been opened publicly and they held just five, which pins the true rate no tighter than roughly 1 in 400 to 1 in 4,000, so we publish a conservative figure rather than a measurement. Every other tier, including Special Illustration Rare, now comes from English openings, the largest being a TCGplayer count of more than 4,000 packs published on 21 July 2026.

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Pull rates by set

The same numbers the calculator runs on — the chance of hitting at least one card of each rarity, by product. Expand a set to see every chase card with its exact odds and current value. Card values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices in USD, refreshed daily (last sync 11 Sep 2026).

Pitch Black pull rates

SIR 1 in 80–125 · 36 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 5	74%	87%	91%	>99%
Ultra Rare	18	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Illustration Rare	11	1 in 9–11	44–51%	58–65%	65–73%	97–99%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 80–125	4.7–7.3%	7.0–11%	8.5–13%	25–36%
Mega Hyper Rare	1	1 in 1260–1370	0.44–0.48%	0.66–0.71%	0.8–0.87%	2.6–2.8%

Odds measured from around 5,400 publicly opened English packs, the largest single count being TCGplayer’s 4,000+ pack dataset (21 Jul 2026).

Top chase cards: Mega Darkrai ex #116 (~$195 ungraded), Mega Darkrai ex #120 (~$157 ungraded), Morpeko ex #117 (~$83 ungraded), Mega Zeraora ex #114 (~$56 ungraded), Mega Chandelure ex #115 (~$41 ungraded), Gwynn #119 (~$31 ungraded), Gladion’s Final Battle #118 (~$28 ungraded).

Every Pitch Black chase card — odds & value (36 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~1,260–1,370	~$157
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$195
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$83
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$56
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$41
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$31
SIR	1 in ~480–750	~$28
UR	1 in ~216	~$14
UR	1 in ~216	~$10
UR	1 in ~216	~$8
UR	1 in ~216	~$8
UR	1 in ~216	~$7
UR	1 in ~216	~$7
UR	1 in ~216	~$6
UR	1 in ~216	~$6
UR	1 in ~216	~$4
UR	1 in ~216	~$4
UR	1 in ~216	~$4
UR	1 in ~216	~$3
UR	1 in ~216	~$3
UR	1 in ~216	~$2
UR	1 in ~216	~$2
UR	1 in ~216	~$2
UR	1 in ~216	~$2
UR	1 in ~216	~$1
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$8
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$7
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–121	~$2

Shop Pitch Black

Chaos Rising pull rates

SIR 1 in 80–85 · 36 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 4–5	74–82%	87–92%	91–96%	>99%
Ultra Rare	18	1 in 15–18	29–34%	40–46%	47–53%	87–92%
Illustration Rare	11	1 in 9–10	47–51%	61–65%	69–73%	98–99%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 80–85	6.9–7.3%	10–11%	12–13%	35–36%
Mega Hyper Rare	1	1 in 950–1000	0.6–0.63%	0.9–0.94%	1.1–1.2%	3.5–3.7%

Odds cross-checked against TCGplayer’s 8,500+ pack Chaos Rising dataset and independent community counts (Jul 2026).

Top chase cards: Mega Greninja ex #116 (~$174 ungraded), Cinccino ex #119 (~$53 ungraded), Mega Dragalge ex #118 (~$35 ungraded), Mega Floette ex #117 (~$27 ungraded), AZ’s Tranquility #120 (~$23 ungraded), Roxie’s Performance #121 (~$20 ungraded), Mega Greninja ex #122 (~$158 ungraded).

Every Chaos Rising chase card — odds & value (36 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~950–1,000	~$158
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$174
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$53
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$35
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$27
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$23
SIR	1 in ~480–510	~$20
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$10
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$5
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$5
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$4
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$4
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$3
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$3
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$3
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$2
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$1
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$1
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$1
UR	1 in ~270–324	~$1
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$6
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$6
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$6
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$5
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$4
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$3
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~99–110	~$1

Shop Chaos Rising Full Chaos Rising pull-rates guide

Perfect Order pull rates

SIR 1 in 70–90 · 36 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Illustration Rare	11	1 in 8–10	47–55%	61–70%	69–77%	98–99%
Ultra Rare	18	1 in 10–12	41–47%	54–61%	62–69%	96–98%
Mega Attack Rare	—	1 in 35–45	13–16%	18–23%	22–27%	55–65%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 70–90	6.5–8.3%	9.6–12%	12–15%	33–40%
Mega Hyper Rare	1	1 in 1000–1800	0.33–0.6%	0.5–0.9%	0.61–1.1%	2.0–3.5%

Odds sourced from TCGplayer’s roughly 3,500-pack Perfect Order dataset, cross-checked against community trackers.

Top chase cards: Mega Zygarde ex #120 (~$57 ungraded), Meowth ex #121 (~$117 ungraded), Rosa’s Encouragement #123 (~$45 ungraded), Mega Starmie ex #118 (~$41 ungraded), Mega Clefable ex #119 (~$49 ungraded), Mega Zygarde ex #124 (~$123 ungraded).

Every Perfect Order chase card — odds & value (36 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~1,000–1,800	~$123
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$117
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$57
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$49
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$45
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$41
SIR	1 in ~420–540	~$21
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$12
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$11
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$5
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$5
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$5
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$5
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$4
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$4
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$4
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$2
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$1
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$1
UR	1 in ~180–216	~$1
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$17
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$5
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$5
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$4
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$2
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$1
IR	1 in ~88–110	~$1

Shop Perfect Order Full Perfect Order pull-rates guide

Ascended Heroes pull rates

SIR 1 in 67–110 · 78 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Illustration Rare	33	1 in 8–9	51–55%	65–70%	73–77%	99%
Ultra Rare	14	1 in 10–12	41–47%	54–61%	62–69%	96–98%
Mega Attack Rare	7	1 in 30–40	14–18%	20–26%	24–31%	60–70%
Special Illustration Rare	22	1 in 67–110	5.3–8.6%	7.9–13%	9.6–15%	28–42%
Mega Hyper Rare	2	1 in 540	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	6.5%
God Pack	—	1 in 950–1000	0.6–0.63%	0.9–0.94%	1.1–1.2%	3.5–3.7%

Odds from TCGplayer pull-rate data cross-checked with tcgtalk community openings; the wide SIR range spans the sources’ disagreement.

Top chase cards: Mega Gengar ex #284 (~$885 ungraded), Pikachu ex #276 (~$964 ungraded), Mega Dragonite ex #290 (~$605 ungraded), Team Rocket’s Mewtwo ex #281 (~$290 ungraded), Pikachu ex #277 (~$324 ungraded), Mega Charizard Y ex #294 (~$367 ungraded), Mega Dragonite ex #295 (~$226 ungraded).

Every Ascended Heroes chase card — odds & value (78 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~1,080	~$367
MHR	1 in ~1,080	~$226
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$964
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$885
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$605
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$324
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$290
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$153
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$150
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$127
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$80
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$78
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$76
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$65
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$60
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$56
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$56
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$55
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$55
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$50
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$39
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$38
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$30
SIR	1 in ~1,474–2,420	~$20
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$53
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$41
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$7
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$7
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$6
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$5
MAR	1 in ~210–280	~$4
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$7
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$6
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$3
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$2
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$2
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	~$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
UR	1 in ~140–168	<$1
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$66
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$21
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$16
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$12
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$11
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$9
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$9
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$8
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$8
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$7
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$7
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$7
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$6
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$6
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$6
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$6
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$6
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$5
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$4
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$4
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$3
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$3
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$3
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$3
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$3
IR	1 in ~264–297	~$2

Shop Ascended Heroes Full Ascended Heroes pull-rates guide

Phantasmal Flames pull rates

SIR 1 in 80 · 36 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Illustration Rare	13	1 in 9	51%	65%	73%	99%
Ultra Rare	17	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Mega Attack Rare	—	1 in 40	14%	20%	24%	60%
Special Illustration Rare	5	1 in 80	7.3%	11%	13%	36%
Mega Hyper Rare	1	1 in 1260	0.48%	0.71%	0.87%	2.8%

Odds sourced from TCGplayer’s roughly 5,000-pack Phantasmal Flames dataset, cross-checked against community trackers.

Top chase cards: Mega Charizard X ex #125 (~$705 ungraded), Dawn #129 (~$20 ungraded), Mega Charizard X ex #130 (~$258 ungraded).

Every Phantasmal Flames chase card — odds & value (36 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~1,260	~$258
SIR	1 in ~400	~$705
SIR	1 in ~400	~$20
SIR	1 in ~400	~$19
SIR	1 in ~400	~$17
SIR	1 in ~400	~$14
UR	1 in ~204	~$28
UR	1 in ~204	~$6
UR	1 in ~204	~$2
UR	1 in ~204	~$2
UR	1 in ~204	~$2
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	~$1
UR	1 in ~204	<$1
UR	1 in ~204	<$1
UR	1 in ~204	<$1
UR	1 in ~204	<$1
IR	1 in ~117	~$17
IR	1 in ~117	~$13
IR	1 in ~117	~$6
IR	1 in ~117	~$5
IR	1 in ~117	~$5
IR	1 in ~117	~$4
IR	1 in ~117	~$4
IR	1 in ~117	~$4
IR	1 in ~117	~$2
IR	1 in ~117	~$2
IR	1 in ~117	~$2
IR	1 in ~117	~$2
IR	1 in ~117	~$1

Shop Phantasmal Flames

Mega Evolution pull rates

SIR 1 in 101 · 56 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 5	74%	87%	91%	>99%
Ultra Rare	22	1 in 12–13	38–41%	51–54%	59–62%	94–96%
Illustration Rare	22	1 in 9	51%	65%	73%	99%
Special Illustration Rare	10	1 in 101	5.8%	8.6%	10%	30%
Mega Hyper Rare	2	1 in 1260	0.48%	0.71%	0.87%	2.8%

Odds from a community aggregate of more than 5,000 opened packs (cardcodex and rarecandy trackers, in full agreement).

Top chase cards: Mega Lucario ex #188 (~$253 ungraded), Mega Lucario ex #179 (~$186 ungraded), Mega Gardevoir ex #187 (~$196 ungraded), Mega Gardevoir ex #178 (~$186 ungraded), Mega Venusaur ex #177 (~$155 ungraded), Mega Latias ex #181 (~$80 ungraded), Mega Absol ex #180 (~$52 ungraded).

Every Mega Evolution chase card — odds & value (56 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MHR	1 in ~2,520	~$253
MHR	1 in ~2,520	~$196
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$186
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$186
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$155
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$80
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$65
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$58
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$52
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$32
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$23
SIR	1 in ~1,010	~$16
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$22
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$13
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$12
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$7
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$6
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$5
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$5
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$5
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$5
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$4
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$3
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$3
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$2
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$1
UR	1 in ~264–286	~$1
UR	1 in ~264–286	<$1
IR	1 in ~198	~$20
IR	1 in ~198	~$20
IR	1 in ~198	~$19
IR	1 in ~198	~$13
IR	1 in ~198	~$8
IR	1 in ~198	~$7
IR	1 in ~198	~$7
IR	1 in ~198	~$6
IR	1 in ~198	~$5
IR	1 in ~198	~$4
IR	1 in ~198	~$4
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$3
IR	1 in ~198	~$2
IR	1 in ~198	~$2
IR	1 in ~198	~$2
IR	1 in ~198	~$1

Shop Mega Evolution

Destined Rivals pull rates

SIR 1 in 94 · 40 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Any ex or above	—	1 in 16	32%	44%	51%	90%
Illustration Rare	23	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Special Illustration Rare	11	1 in 94	6.2%	9.2%	11%	32%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 149	4.0%	5.9%	7.1%	22%

Odds cross-checked against TCGplayer pull-rate data and independent community trackers.

Top chase cards: Team Rocket’s Mewtwo ex #231 (~$455 ungraded), Cynthia’s Garchomp ex #232 (~$231 ungraded), Ethan’s Ho-Oh ex #230 (~$152 ungraded), Team Rocket’s Nidoking ex #233 (~$100 ungraded), Team Rocket’s Moltres ex #229 (~$94 ungraded), Team Rocket’s Crobat ex #234 (~$62 ungraded).

Every Destined Rivals chase card — odds & value (40 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~894	~$58
HR	1 in ~894	~$33
HR	1 in ~894	~$25
HR	1 in ~894	~$14
HR	1 in ~894	~$7
HR	1 in ~894	~$7
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$455
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$231
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$152
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$100
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$94
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$62
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$38
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$31
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$28
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$21
SIR	1 in ~1,034	~$20
IR	1 in ~276	~$62
IR	1 in ~276	~$30
IR	1 in ~276	~$25
IR	1 in ~276	~$25
IR	1 in ~276	~$12
IR	1 in ~276	~$12
IR	1 in ~276	~$12
IR	1 in ~276	~$11
IR	1 in ~276	~$11
IR	1 in ~276	~$9
IR	1 in ~276	~$8
IR	1 in ~276	~$7
IR	1 in ~276	~$5
IR	1 in ~276	~$5
IR	1 in ~276	~$5
IR	1 in ~276	~$5
IR	1 in ~276	~$4
IR	1 in ~276	~$4
IR	1 in ~276	~$4
IR	1 in ~276	~$4
IR	1 in ~276	~$4
IR	1 in ~276	~$3
IR	1 in ~276	~$3

Shop Destined Rivals

Prismatic Evolutions pull rates

SIR 1 in 45–53 · 55 chase cards

With 32 Special Illustration Rares in the pool, a specific SIR (like Umbreon ex) runs roughly 1 in 1,450-1,700 packs. God Pack odds are community estimates.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 6	67%	81%	87%	>99%
Ultra Rare	12	1 in 13–26	21–38%	30–51%	35–59%	76–94%
ACE SPEC Rare	6	1 in 21–29	19–25%	27–36%	32–42%	72–83%
Master Ball reverse (any)	—	1 in 19–20	26–28%	37–39%	43–45%	84–86%
Special Illustration Rare	32	1 in 45–53	11–13%	16–18%	19–22%	50–55%
Hyper Rare	5	1 in 152–180	3.3–3.9%	4.9–5.8%	5.9–7.0%	18–21%
God Pack	—	1 in 1500–4000	0.15–0.4%	0.22–0.6%	0.27–0.73%	0.9–2.4%

Odds triangulated from three independent sources: TCGplayer’s 1,200-pack dataset, tcgtalk, and thepricedex; ranges span their disagreement.

Top chase cards: Umbreon ex #161 (~$1,430 ungraded), Sylveon ex #156 (~$533 ungraded), Espeon ex #155 (~$317 ungraded), Leafeon ex #144 (~$334 ungraded), Glaceon ex #150 (~$289 ungraded), Vaporeon ex #149 (~$292 ungraded), Flareon ex #146 (~$205 ungraded).

Every Prismatic Evolutions chase card — odds & value (55 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~760–900	~$61
HR	1 in ~760–900	~$12
HR	1 in ~760–900	~$8
HR	1 in ~760–900	~$6
HR	1 in ~760–900	~$6
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$1,430
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$533
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$334
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$317
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$292
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$289
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$205
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$194
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$181
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$166
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$106
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$102
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$67
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$61
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$50
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$49
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$41
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$35
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$32
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$30
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$30
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$27
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$25
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$25
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$24
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$20
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$19
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$17
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$17
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$14
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$14
SIR	1 in ~1,440–1,696	~$13
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
ASR	1 in ~126–174	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	~$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1
UR	1 in ~156–312	<$1

Surging Sparks pull rates

SIR 1 in 80–90 · 61 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Illustration Rare	23	1 in 13	38%	51%	59%	94%
Ultra Rare	21	1 in 15	34%	46%	53%	92%
Special Illustration Rare	11	1 in 80–90	6.5–7.3%	9.6–11%	12–13%	33–36%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 189	3.1%	4.7%	5.7%	17%

Odds cross-checked against TCGplayer pull-rate data and tcgtalk community openings.

Top chase cards: Pikachu ex #238 (~$289 ungraded), Latias ex #239 (~$191 ungraded), Milotic ex #237 (~$124 ungraded), Pikachu ex #247 (~$87 ungraded).

Every Surging Sparks chase card — odds & value (61 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$87
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$11
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$11
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$9
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$4
HR	1 in ~1,134	~$2
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$289
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$191
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$124
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$39
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$37
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$33
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$27
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$21
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$13
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$9
SIR	1 in ~880–990	~$8
UR	1 in ~315	~$28
UR	1 in ~315	~$8
UR	1 in ~315	~$5
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$3
UR	1 in ~315	~$3
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	<$1
UR	1 in ~315	<$1
IR	1 in ~299	~$35
IR	1 in ~299	~$25
IR	1 in ~299	~$14
IR	1 in ~299	~$13
IR	1 in ~299	~$10
IR	1 in ~299	~$10
IR	1 in ~299	~$10
IR	1 in ~299	~$9
IR	1 in ~299	~$9
IR	1 in ~299	~$9
IR	1 in ~299	~$8
IR	1 in ~299	~$8
IR	1 in ~299	~$8
IR	1 in ~299	~$6
IR	1 in ~299	~$6
IR	1 in ~299	~$6
IR	1 in ~299	~$5
IR	1 in ~299	~$4
IR	1 in ~299	~$3
IR	1 in ~299	~$3
IR	1 in ~299	~$3
IR	1 in ~299	~$3
IR	1 in ~299	~$2

Pokémon 151 pull rates

SIR 1 in 32 · 42 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 8	55%	70%	77%	99%
Ultra Rare	16	1 in 16	32%	44%	51%	90%
Illustration Rare	16	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Special Illustration Rare	7	1 in 32	17%	25%	29%	68%
Hyper Rare	3	1 in 51	11%	16%	20%	51%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 1,500+ pack dataset and pokepatch’s 1,000+ packs, in full agreement on every tier.

Top chase cards: Charizard ex #199 (~$369 ungraded), Blastoise ex #200 (~$140 ungraded), Venusaur ex #198 (~$119 ungraded), Zapdos ex #202 (~$97 ungraded), Alakazam ex #201 (~$76 ungraded), Mew ex #205 (~$30 ungraded), Erika’s Invitation #203 (~$17 ungraded).

Every Pokémon 151 chase card — odds & value (42 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~153	~$30
HR	1 in ~153	~$5
HR	1 in ~153	~$3
SIR	1 in ~224	~$369
SIR	1 in ~224	~$140
SIR	1 in ~224	~$119
SIR	1 in ~224	~$97
SIR	1 in ~224	~$76
SIR	1 in ~224	~$17
SIR	1 in ~224	~$15
UR	1 in ~256	~$40
UR	1 in ~256	~$34
UR	1 in ~256	~$20
UR	1 in ~256	~$15
UR	1 in ~256	~$15
UR	1 in ~256	~$11
UR	1 in ~256	~$10
UR	1 in ~256	~$8
UR	1 in ~256	~$7
UR	1 in ~256	~$7
UR	1 in ~256	~$6
UR	1 in ~256	~$5
UR	1 in ~256	~$5
UR	1 in ~256	~$5
UR	1 in ~256	~$3
UR	1 in ~256	~$3
IR	1 in ~192	~$95
IR	1 in ~192	~$94
IR	1 in ~192	~$83
IR	1 in ~192	~$81
IR	1 in ~192	~$66
IR	1 in ~192	~$62
IR	1 in ~192	~$57
IR	1 in ~192	~$51
IR	1 in ~192	~$44
IR	1 in ~192	~$44
IR	1 in ~192	~$23
IR	1 in ~192	~$20
IR	1 in ~192	~$19
IR	1 in ~192	~$18
IR	1 in ~192	~$16
IR	1 in ~192	~$14

Full Pokémon 151 pull-rates guide

Storm Emeralda pull rates

SAR 1 in 90–690 · 37 chase cards

Japanese set: packs hold 5 cards and a booster box holds 30 packs. Special Art Rare and Mega Ultra Rare rates rest on a small number of observed pulls, so they are shown as wide ranges rather than a single figure.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Box (30)
Double Rare	—	1 in 5	>99%
Art Rare	12	1 in 7–15	87–99%
Super Rare	18	1 in 10–15	87–96%
Special Art Rare	6	1 in 90–690	4.3–28%
Mega Ultra Rare	1	1 in 690–3000	1.0–4.3%

Odds from tcgtalk’s 1,380-pack Storm Emeralda dataset cross-checked with samuraiswordtokyo box-rate estimates; ranges span the two sources.

Top chase cards: Mega Rayquaza ex #113 (~$1,070 ungraded), Mega Rayquaza ex #110 (~$421 ungraded), Raikou ex #108 (~$78 ungraded), Zinnia’s Trust #112 (~$36 ungraded), Mega Golurk ex #109 (~$20 ungraded), Mega Golisopod ex #107 (~$16 ungraded), Aarune #111 (~$10 ungraded).

Every Storm Emeralda chase card — odds & value (37 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
MUR	1 in ~690–3,000	~$1,070
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$421
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$78
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$36
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$20
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$16
SAR	1 in ~540–4,140	~$10
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$44
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$11
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$8
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$8
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$7
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$6
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$6
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$5
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$5
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$4
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$3
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$3
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$2
SR	1 in ~180–270	~$1
SR	1 in ~180–270	<$1
SR	1 in ~180–270	<$1
SR	1 in ~180–270	<$1
SR	1 in ~180–270	<$1
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$20
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$18
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$16
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$11
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$7
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$6
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$5
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$4
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$3
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$3
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$2
AR	1 in ~84–180	~$2

Evolving Skies pull rates

105 chase cards

Rates come from two independent 2021 datasets (8,000+ and 11,664 counted packs) that agree closely on every tier. The set has been reprinted many times since; no rate change between prints has ever been documented, but the data is from launch-era packs.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	18	1 in 9	51%	65%	73%	99%
VMAX	15	1 in 15–18	29–34%	40–46%	47–53%	87–92%
Full Art V & Trainer	27	1 in 36–37	15–16%	22%	26–27%	63–64%
Alternate Art V	11	1 in 91–101	5.8–6.4%	8.6–9.5%	10–11%	30–33%
Gold Secret	12	1 in 102–109	5.4–5.7%	8.0–8.5%	9.6–10%	28–30%
Rainbow Rare	16	1 in 108–118	5.0–5.4%	7.4–8.0%	8.9–9.7%	26–28%
Alternate Art VMAX	6	1 in 292–332	1.8–2.0%	2.7–3.0%	3.3–3.7%	10–12%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack study cross-checked with an independently counted 11,664-pack community dataset; ranges span the two.

Top chase cards: Umbreon VMAX #215 (~$2,368 ungraded), Rayquaza VMAX #218 (~$1,255 ungraded), Dragonite V #192 (~$526 ungraded), Rayquaza V #194 (~$490 ungraded), Leafeon VMAX #205 (~$410 ungraded), Sylveon VMAX #212 (~$388 ungraded).

Every Evolving Skies chase card — odds & value (105 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$2,368
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$1,255
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$410
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$388
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$313
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,752–1,992	~$16
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$118
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$85
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$60
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$49
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$44
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$37
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$10
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$9
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$8
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$5
RR	1 in ~1,728–1,888	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$25
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$13
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$12
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$10
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$10
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$9
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~1,224–1,308	~$2
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$526
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$490
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$387
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$242
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$204
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$161
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$152
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$73
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$38
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$21
ALTV	1 in ~1,001–1,111	~$19
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$77
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$60
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$38
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$36
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$27
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$25
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$24
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$23
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$20
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$19
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$18
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$13
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$9
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$6
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$6
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$6
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$5
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$5
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$5
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$4
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$4
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$4
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$3
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$3
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$2
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$2
FA	1 in ~972–999	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$30
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$20
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$15
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$15
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$12
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$11
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$11
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$10
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$9
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$8
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$3
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~225–270	~$2
V	1 in ~162	~$9
V	1 in ~162	~$6
V	1 in ~162	~$3
V	1 in ~162	~$3
V	1 in ~162	~$3
V	1 in ~162	~$3
V	1 in ~162	~$2
V	1 in ~162	~$2
V	1 in ~162	~$1
V	1 in ~162	~$1
V	1 in ~162	~$1
V	1 in ~162	~$1
V	1 in ~162	~$1
V	1 in ~162	<$1
V	1 in ~162	<$1
V	1 in ~162	<$1
V	1 in ~162	<$1
V	1 in ~162	<$1

Crown Zenith pull rates

104 chase cards

The two largest independent counts disagree by a few points on how often any Galarian Gallery card appears, so every Galarian Gallery range spans both. Full-art trainers from the main set carry no published rate because the three sources bucket them incompatibly.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Galarian Gallery holo (non-V)	34	1 in 4–5	74–82%	87–92%	91–96%	>99%
Pokemon V	17	1 in 6–10	47–67%	61–81%	69–87%	98–>99%
Galarian Gallery V, VSTAR & Trainer	32	1 in 8–10	47–55%	61–70%	69–77%	98–99%
VMAX & VSTAR (any)	13	1 in 18–19	28–29%	39–40%	45–47%	86–87%
Radiant Rare	3	1 in 20–33	17–26%	24–37%	29–43%	67–84%
Gold Secret Pikachu	1	1 in 67–133	4.4–8.6%	6.6–13%	8.0–15%	24–42%
Galarian Gallery Gold VSTAR	4	1 in 125–167	3.5–4.7%	5.3–7.0%	6.4–8.5%	19–25%

Odds triangulated from three independent counts: TCGplayer (1,900+ packs), Card Shop Live (1,000 packs) and DigitalTQ (615 packs).

Top chase cards: Giratina VSTAR #GG69 (~$317 ungraded), Mewtwo VSTAR #GG44 (~$264 ungraded), Arceus VSTAR #GG70 (~$210 ungraded), Origin Forme Dialga VSTAR #GG68 (~$128 ungraded), Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR #GG67 (~$113 ungraded), Darkrai VSTAR #GG50 (~$94 ungraded).

Every Crown Zenith chase card — odds & value (104 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
GGGOLD	1 in ~500–668	~$317
GGGOLD	1 in ~500–668	~$210
GGGOLD	1 in ~500–668	~$128
GGGOLD	1 in ~500–668	~$113
SEC	1 in ~67–133	~$49
RAD	1 in ~60–99	~$14
RAD	1 in ~60–99	<$1
RAD	1 in ~60–99	<$1
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$15
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$12
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$12
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$4
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$4
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$2
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$1
VMV	1 in ~234–247	~$1
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$264
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$94
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$90
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$68
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$63
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$62
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$54
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$50
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$50
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$45
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$35
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$30
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$29
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$25
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$25
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$25
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$23
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$19
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$19
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$18
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$14
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$14
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$13
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$9
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$8
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$8
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$6
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$5
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$5
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$4
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$3
GGV	1 in ~256–320	~$2
V	1 in ~102–170	~$9
V	1 in ~102–170	~$8
V	1 in ~102–170	~$6
V	1 in ~102–170	~$2
V	1 in ~102–170	~$2
V	1 in ~102–170	~$2
V	1 in ~102–170	~$1
V	1 in ~102–170	~$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
V	1 in ~102–170	<$1
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$69
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$46
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$25
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$20
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$18
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$18
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$18
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$16
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$13
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$13
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$12
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$12
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$11
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$11
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$10
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$9
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$9
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$9
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$7
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$7
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$6
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$6
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$6
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$6
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$5
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$5
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$5
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$5
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$4
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$4
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$3
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$3
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$3
GGC	1 in ~136–170	~$2

Journey Together pull rates

SIR 1 in 86–100 · 31 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 5	74%	87%	91%	>99%
Illustration Rare	11	1 in 10–12	41–47%	54–61%	62–69%	96–98%
Ultra Rare	11	1 in 15	34%	46%	53%	92%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 86–100	5.9–6.8%	8.6–10.0%	10–12%	30–34%
Hyper Rare	3	1 in 125–137	4.3–4.7%	6.4–7.0%	7.7–8.5%	23–25%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with tcgtalk’s independent 500-pack count; the Ultra Rare figure is TCGplayer-only.

Top chase cards: Lillie’s Clefairy ex #184 (~$103 ungraded), Salamence ex #187 (~$57 ungraded), N’s Zoroark ex #185 (~$45 ungraded), Iono’s Bellibolt ex #183 (~$38 ungraded), Hop’s Zacian ex #186 (~$31 ungraded), Articuno #161 (~$21 ungraded).

Every Journey Together chase card — odds & value (31 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$14
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$14
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$3
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$103
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$57
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$45
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$38
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$31
SIR	1 in ~516–600	~$20
UR	1 in ~165	~$7
UR	1 in ~165	~$4
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
UR	1 in ~165	<$1
UR	1 in ~165	<$1
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$21
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$15
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$14
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$9
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$6
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$5
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$5
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$5
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$3
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$3
IR	1 in ~110–132	~$2

Stellar Crown pull rates

SIR 1 in 90 · 36 chase cards

Special Illustration Rare and ACE SPEC odds here rest on TCGplayer’s dataset alone. One community tracker publishes a differently-bucketed count that implies better SIR odds, but its buckets do not map to official rarities, so we publish the rarity-verified figure.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 6	67%	81%	87%	>99%
Illustration Rare	13	1 in 13	38%	51%	59%	94%
Ultra Rare	11	1 in 15	34%	46%	53%	92%
ACE SPEC Rare	3	1 in 20	26%	37%	43%	84%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 90	6.5%	9.6%	12%	33%
Hyper Rare	3	1 in 125–137	4.3–4.7%	6.4–7.0%	7.7–8.5%	23–25%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset; Illustration Rare and gold rates corroborated by an independent 1,000-pack count.

Top chase cards: Squirtle #148 (~$109 ungraded), Bulbasaur #143 (~$100 ungraded), Dachsbun ex #169 (~$70 ungraded), Hydrapple ex #167 (~$37 ungraded), Terapagos ex #170 (~$36 ungraded), Galvantula ex #168 (~$18 ungraded).

Every Stellar Crown chase card — odds & value (36 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$12
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$11
HR	1 in ~375–411	~$4
SIR	1 in ~540	~$70
SIR	1 in ~540	~$37
SIR	1 in ~540	~$36
SIR	1 in ~540	~$18
SIR	1 in ~540	~$17
SIR	1 in ~540	~$11
ASR	1 in ~60	<$1
ASR	1 in ~60	<$1
ASR	1 in ~60	<$1
UR	1 in ~165	~$7
UR	1 in ~165	~$6
UR	1 in ~165	~$5
UR	1 in ~165	~$4
UR	1 in ~165	~$3
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$2
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
UR	1 in ~165	~$1
IR	1 in ~169	~$109
IR	1 in ~169	~$100
IR	1 in ~169	~$18
IR	1 in ~169	~$14
IR	1 in ~169	~$14
IR	1 in ~169	~$9
IR	1 in ~169	~$9
IR	1 in ~169	~$9
IR	1 in ~169	~$8
IR	1 in ~169	~$6
IR	1 in ~169	~$5
IR	1 in ~169	~$5
IR	1 in ~169	~$4

Shrouded Fable pull rates

SIR 1 in 50–64 · 35 chase cards

Mini set sold in bundles and ETBs only, with no booster boxes, so no large retailer tracker has published verified odds. These rates rest on community-tracked openings (about 2,400 counted packs) and carry wider uncertainty than most sets on this page.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Illustration Rare	15	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Ultra Rare	10	1 in 24–36	16–23%	22–32%	27–37%	64–78%
Special Illustration Rare	5	1 in 50–64	9.0–11%	13–17%	16–20%	43–52%
Hyper Rare	5	1 in 118	5.0%	7.4%	8.9%	26%

Odds from community trackers (about 2,400 counted packs); the SIR range spans two independent community counts.

Top chase cards: Persian #78 (~$75 ungraded), Basic Darkness Energy #98 (~$60 ungraded), Houndoom #66 (~$57 ungraded), Duskull #68 (~$54 ungraded), Horsea #67 (~$54 ungraded), Cassiopeia #94 (~$41 ungraded).

Every Shrouded Fable chase card — odds & value (35 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~590	~$60
HR	1 in ~590	~$34
HR	1 in ~590	~$21
HR	1 in ~590	~$19
HR	1 in ~590	~$17
SIR	1 in ~250–320	~$41
SIR	1 in ~250–320	~$39
SIR	1 in ~250–320	~$25
SIR	1 in ~250–320	~$22
SIR	1 in ~250–320	~$19
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$12
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$8
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$8
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$6
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$6
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$4
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$4
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$3
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$2
UR	1 in ~240–360	~$2
IR	1 in ~180	~$75
IR	1 in ~180	~$57
IR	1 in ~180	~$54
IR	1 in ~180	~$54
IR	1 in ~180	~$32
IR	1 in ~180	~$31
IR	1 in ~180	~$29
IR	1 in ~180	~$27
IR	1 in ~180	~$27
IR	1 in ~180	~$26
IR	1 in ~180	~$18
IR	1 in ~180	~$17
IR	1 in ~180	~$16
IR	1 in ~180	~$13
IR	1 in ~180	~$12

Twilight Masquerade pull rates

SIR 1 in 86 · 65 chase cards

Every rate here comes from a single measured dataset (TCGplayer, 8,000+ packs). No independent second count has been published for this set, so treat these odds as well-measured but uncorroborated.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 6	67%	81%	87%	>99%
Illustration Rare	21	1 in 13	38%	51%	59%	94%
Ultra Rare	21	1 in 15	34%	46%	53%	92%
ACE SPEC Rare	6	1 in 20	26%	37%	43%	84%
Special Illustration Rare	11	1 in 86	6.8%	10.0%	12%	34%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 146	4.0%	6.0%	7.3%	22%

Odds measured from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset; no independent second count has been published for this set.

Top chase cards: Greninja ex #214 (~$359 ungraded), Perrin #220 (~$166 ungraded), Eevee #188 (~$93 ungraded), Carmine #217 (~$54 ungraded), Chansey #187 (~$55 ungraded), Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex #216 (~$47 ungraded).

Every Twilight Masquerade chase card — odds & value (65 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~876	~$12
HR	1 in ~876	~$8
HR	1 in ~876	~$8
HR	1 in ~876	~$6
HR	1 in ~876	~$5
HR	1 in ~876	~$3
SIR	1 in ~946	~$359
SIR	1 in ~946	~$166
SIR	1 in ~946	~$54
SIR	1 in ~946	~$47
SIR	1 in ~946	~$38
SIR	1 in ~946	~$36
SIR	1 in ~946	~$30
SIR	1 in ~946	~$20
SIR	1 in ~946	~$14
SIR	1 in ~946	~$13
SIR	1 in ~946	~$11
ASR	1 in ~120	~$15
ASR	1 in ~120	~$5
ASR	1 in ~120	~$5
ASR	1 in ~120	<$1
ASR	1 in ~120	<$1
ASR	1 in ~120	<$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$14
UR	1 in ~315	~$13
UR	1 in ~315	~$8
UR	1 in ~315	~$5
UR	1 in ~315	~$5
UR	1 in ~315	~$5
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$4
UR	1 in ~315	~$3
UR	1 in ~315	~$3
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$2
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	~$1
UR	1 in ~315	<$1
IR	1 in ~273	~$93
IR	1 in ~273	~$55
IR	1 in ~273	~$29
IR	1 in ~273	~$22
IR	1 in ~273	~$16
IR	1 in ~273	~$15
IR	1 in ~273	~$15
IR	1 in ~273	~$14
IR	1 in ~273	~$13
IR	1 in ~273	~$9
IR	1 in ~273	~$9
IR	1 in ~273	~$7
IR	1 in ~273	~$7
IR	1 in ~273	~$7
IR	1 in ~273	~$6
IR	1 in ~273	~$6
IR	1 in ~273	~$6
IR	1 in ~273	~$6
IR	1 in ~273	~$5
IR	1 in ~273	~$5
IR	1 in ~273	~$5

Temporal Forces pull rates

SIR 1 in 63–86 · 63 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 6	67%	81%	87%	>99%
Illustration Rare	22	1 in 12–13	38–41%	51–54%	59–62%	94–96%
Ultra Rare	18	1 in 13–15	34–38%	46–51%	53–59%	92–94%
ACE SPEC Rare	7	1 in 20	26%	37%	43%	84%
Special Illustration Rare	10	1 in 63–86	6.8–9.2%	10.0–13%	12–16%	34–44%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 139	4.2%	6.3%	7.6%	23%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ’s independent 691-pack count; ranges span their disagreement.

Top chase cards: Gastly #177 (~$96 ungraded), Morty’s Conviction #211 (~$63 ungraded), Raging Bolt ex #208 (~$62 ungraded), Gengar ex #193 (~$54 ungraded), Sawsbuck #166 (~$60 ungraded), Iron Crown ex #206 (~$51 ungraded).

Every Temporal Forces chase card — odds & value (63 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~834	~$16
HR	1 in ~834	~$13
HR	1 in ~834	~$12
HR	1 in ~834	~$8
HR	1 in ~834	~$8
HR	1 in ~834	~$8
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$63
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$62
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$52
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$51
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$49
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$31
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$27
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$22
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$20
SIR	1 in ~630–860	~$18
ASR	1 in ~140	~$30
ASR	1 in ~140	~$17
ASR	1 in ~140	~$2
ASR	1 in ~140	<$1
ASR	1 in ~140	<$1
ASR	1 in ~140	<$1
ASR	1 in ~140	<$1
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$54
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$9
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$5
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$4
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$4
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$4
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$4
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$3
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$3
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$3
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$3
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
UR	1 in ~234–270	~$2
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$96
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$60
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$43
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$41
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$39
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$36
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$31
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$30
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$27
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$25
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$20
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$18
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$18
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$12
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$12
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$12
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$12
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$11
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$11
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$11
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$9
IR	1 in ~264–286	~$7

Paldean Fates pull rates

SIR 1 in 58–67 · 154 chase cards

No booster boxes exist for this set — it ships in bundles and ETBs, so the 36-pack column is a maths reference. The gold Hyper Rare range is wide because the two independent sources genuinely disagree.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Shiny Rare (baby shiny)	120	1 in 4	82%	92%	96%	>99%
Shiny Ultra Rare	12	1 in 11–13	38–44%	51–58%	59–65%	94–97%
Illustration Rare	3	1 in 12–14	36–41%	49–54%	56–62%	93–96%
Ultra Rare	5	1 in 14–15	34–36%	46–49%	53–56%	92–93%
Special Illustration Rare	8	1 in 58–67	8.6–9.9%	13–14%	15–17%	42–47%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 62–133	4.4–9.3%	6.6–14%	8.0–16%	24–44%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 1,500-pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ’s independent 536-pack count; ranges span their disagreement.

Top chase cards: Mew ex #232 (~$877 ungraded), Charizard ex #234 (~$282 ungraded), Gardevoir ex #233 (~$173 ungraded), Pikachu #131 (~$78 ungraded), Snorlax #202 (~$51 ungraded), Charmander #109 (~$43 ungraded).

Every Paldean Fates chase card — odds & value (154 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$16
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$13
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$12
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$10
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$7
HR	1 in ~372–798	~$7
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$877
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$282
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$173
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$25
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$23
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$14
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$9
SIR	1 in ~464–536	~$7
UR	1 in ~70–75	<$1
UR	1 in ~70–75	<$1
UR	1 in ~70–75	<$1
UR	1 in ~70–75	<$1
UR	1 in ~70–75	<$1
IR	1 in ~36–42	~$3
IR	1 in ~36–42	~$3
IR	1 in ~36–42	~$2
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$38
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$8
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$7
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$3
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$3
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$3
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$2
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$1
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$1
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$1
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$1
SHUR	1 in ~132–156	~$1
SHR	1 in ~480	~$78
SHR	1 in ~480	~$52
SHR	1 in ~480	~$51
SHR	1 in ~480	~$43
SHR	1 in ~480	~$39
SHR	1 in ~480	~$31
SHR	1 in ~480	~$29
SHR	1 in ~480	~$25
SHR	1 in ~480	~$24
SHR	1 in ~480	~$20
SHR	1 in ~480	~$20
SHR	1 in ~480	~$18
SHR	1 in ~480	~$17
SHR	1 in ~480	~$16
SHR	1 in ~480	~$16
SHR	1 in ~480	~$14
SHR	1 in ~480	~$13
SHR	1 in ~480	~$13
SHR	1 in ~480	~$12
SHR	1 in ~480	~$12
SHR	1 in ~480	~$11
SHR	1 in ~480	~$11
SHR	1 in ~480	~$11
SHR	1 in ~480	~$11
SHR	1 in ~480	~$10
SHR	1 in ~480	~$10
SHR	1 in ~480	~$10
SHR	1 in ~480	~$10
SHR	1 in ~480	~$9
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$8
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$7
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$6
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$5
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$4
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$3
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2
SHR	1 in ~480	~$2

Paradox Rift pull rates

SIR 1 in 47–52 · 84 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 6–7	60–67%	75–81%	82–87%	>99%
Illustration Rare	34	1 in 12–13	38–41%	51–54%	59–62%	94–96%
Ultra Rare	28	1 in 13–15	34–38%	46–51%	53–59%	92–94%
Special Illustration Rare	15	1 in 47–52	11–12%	16–18%	19–21%	50–54%
Hyper Rare	7	1 in 81–82	7.1–7.2%	10–11%	13%	36%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset and DigitalTQ’s independent 570-pack count, in agreement on every tier.

Top chase cards: Groudon #199 (~$121 ungraded), Altaria ex #253 (~$53 ungraded), Morpeko #206 (~$60 ungraded), Plusle #193 (~$48 ungraded), Minun #194 (~$45 ungraded), Steelix #208 (~$38 ungraded).

Every Paradox Rift chase card — odds & value (84 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$18
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$7
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$6
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$3
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$3
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$2
HR	1 in ~567–574	~$2
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$53
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$39
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$35
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$32
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$26
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$21
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$18
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$16
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$12
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$10
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$10
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$9
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$9
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$8
SIR	1 in ~705–780	~$6
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$18
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$8
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$5
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$4
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$4
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$4
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$4
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$4
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$3
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$3
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$3
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$3
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$3
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$2
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$1
UR	1 in ~364–420	~$1
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$121
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$60
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$48
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$45
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$38
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$33
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$31
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$30
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$27
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$26
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$24
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$22
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$20
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$19
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$17
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$15
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$15
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$14
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$12
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$12
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$12
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$12
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$11
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$11
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$9
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$9
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$8
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$8
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$7
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$7
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$6
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$6
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$6
IR	1 in ~408–442	~$6

Obsidian Flames pull rates

SIR 1 in 27–32 · 33 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 7	60%	75%	82%	>99%
Illustration Rare	12	1 in 12–14	36–41%	49–54%	56–62%	93–96%
Ultra Rare	12	1 in 14–17	30–36%	42–49%	49–56%	89–93%
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 27–32	17–20%	25–29%	29–34%	68–74%
Hyper Rare	3	1 in 50–52	11%	16–17%	19–20%	50–52%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ packs plus two independent counts (Coded Yellow, DigitalTQ) in close agreement on every tier.

Top chase cards: Charizard ex #223 (~$102 ungraded), Ninetales #199 (~$39 ungraded), Cleffa #202 (~$37 ungraded), Charizard ex #228 (~$32 ungraded), Gloom #198 (~$24 ungraded), Charizard ex #215 (~$21 ungraded).

Every Obsidian Flames chase card — odds & value (33 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~150–156	~$32
HR	1 in ~150–156	~$4
HR	1 in ~150–156	~$1
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$102
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$22
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$7
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$6
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$4
SIR	1 in ~162–192	~$3
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$21
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$5
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$3
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$2
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$2
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$2
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$1
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$1
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$1
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$1
UR	1 in ~168–204	~$1
UR	1 in ~168–204	<$1
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$39
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$37
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$24
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$16
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$16
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$13
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$13
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$11
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$6
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$6
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$6
IR	1 in ~144–168	~$3

Lost Origin pull rates

98 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	12	1 in 8–9	51–55%	65–70%	73–77%	99%
Trainer Gallery (any)	30	1 in 8	55%	70%	77%	99%
VMAX & VSTAR (any)	7	1 in 17–23	23–30%	33–42%	39–49%	80–89%
Radiant Rare	3	1 in 20–25	22–26%	31–37%	36–43%	77–84%
Full Art V	21	1 in 51	11%	16%	20%	51%
Rainbow Rare	15	1 in 65–78	7.4–8.9%	11–13%	13–16%	37–43%
Gold Secret	6	1 in 114	5.1%	7.6%	9.2%	27%
Alternate Art V	4	1 in 201	2.9%	4.4%	5.3%	16%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ’s independent 718-pack count; the Trainer Gallery rate is TCGplayer-only.

Top chase cards: Giratina V #186 (~$832 ungraded), Aerodactyl V #180 (~$210 ungraded), Pikachu V #TG16 (~$124 ungraded), Pikachu VMAX #TG17 (~$114 ungraded), Gengar #TG06 (~$54 ungraded), Pikachu #TG05 (~$43 ungraded).

Every Lost Origin chase card — odds & value (98 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
ALTV	1 in ~804	~$832
ALTV	1 in ~804	~$210
ALTV	1 in ~804	~$32
ALTV	1 in ~804	~$21
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$18
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$6
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~684	~$2
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$29
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$15
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$12
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$9
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$9
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$6
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$6
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$5
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$5
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$5
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$5
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$4
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$4
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$3
RR	1 in ~975–1,170	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$18
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$5
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$1
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$1
FA	1 in ~1,071	~$1
RAD	1 in ~60–75	~$1
RAD	1 in ~60–75	<$1
RAD	1 in ~60–75	<$1
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$3
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$2
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$2
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$1
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$1
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$1
VMV	1 in ~119–161	~$1
V	1 in ~96–108	~$2
V	1 in ~96–108	~$1
V	1 in ~96–108	~$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
V	1 in ~96–108	<$1
TG	1 in ~240	~$124
TG	1 in ~240	~$114
TG	1 in ~240	~$54
TG	1 in ~240	~$43
TG	1 in ~240	~$32
TG	1 in ~240	~$30
TG	1 in ~240	~$26
TG	1 in ~240	~$22
TG	1 in ~240	~$14
TG	1 in ~240	~$13
TG	1 in ~240	~$13
TG	1 in ~240	~$12
TG	1 in ~240	~$12
TG	1 in ~240	~$10
TG	1 in ~240	~$10
TG	1 in ~240	~$9
TG	1 in ~240	~$6
TG	1 in ~240	~$5
TG	1 in ~240	~$5
TG	1 in ~240	~$5
TG	1 in ~240	~$5
TG	1 in ~240	~$4
TG	1 in ~240	~$4
TG	1 in ~240	~$3
TG	1 in ~240	~$3
TG	1 in ~240	~$3
TG	1 in ~240	~$3
TG	1 in ~240	~$2
TG	1 in ~240	~$2
TG	1 in ~240	~$2

Brilliant Stars pull rates

89 chase cards

No large retailer study exists for this set: rates come from two independent community counts (1,004 and 72 packs). The four alternate arts, including Charizard V, have no published alt-specific rate, so they sit inside the Full Art tier and their per-card odds are equal-share estimates.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	20	1 in 7–8	55–60%	70–75%	77–82%	99–>99%
Trainer Gallery (any)	30	1 in 8–9	51–55%	65–70%	73–77%	99%
Full Art V & Trainer (incl. alt arts)	21	1 in 18–20	26–29%	37–40%	43–47%	84–87%
VSTAR	4	1 in 53	11%	16%	19%	50%
Gold Secret	6	1 in 67	8.6%	13%	15%	42%
Rainbow Rare	8	1 in 78	7.4%	11%	13%	37%

Odds from two independent community counts (DigitalTQ 1,004 packs, Coded Yellow 72 packs); no retailer-scale study has been published for this set.

Top chase cards: Charizard V #154 (~$296 ungraded), Umbreon VMAX #TG23 (~$110 ungraded), Mimikyu V #TG16 (~$85 ungraded), Sylveon V #TG14 (~$75 ungraded), Charizard VSTAR #174 (~$72 ungraded), Sylveon VMAX #TG15 (~$74 ungraded).

Every Brilliant Stars chase card — odds & value (89 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
RR	1 in ~624	~$72
RR	1 in ~624	~$14
RR	1 in ~624	~$7
RR	1 in ~624	~$6
RR	1 in ~624	~$6
RR	1 in ~624	~$3
RR	1 in ~624	~$3
RR	1 in ~624	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$21
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$16
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$16
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$15
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$14
GOLD	1 in ~402	~$2
VSTAR	1 in ~212	~$12
VSTAR	1 in ~212	~$5
VSTAR	1 in ~212	~$1
VSTAR	1 in ~212	~$1
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$296
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$60
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$35
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$27
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$15
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$13
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$12
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$11
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$10
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$6
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$2
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$1
FA	1 in ~378–420	~$1
FA	1 in ~378–420	<$1
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$110
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$85
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$75
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$75
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$74
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$72
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$23
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$23
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$20
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$19
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$15
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$15
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$11
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$9
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$9
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$9
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$6
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$6
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$6
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$4
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$4
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$4
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$4
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$3
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$3
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$3
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$2
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$2
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$2
TG	1 in ~240–270	~$2
V	1 in ~140–160	~$7
V	1 in ~140–160	~$4
V	1 in ~140–160	~$3
V	1 in ~140–160	~$2
V	1 in ~140–160	~$2
V	1 in ~140–160	~$2
V	1 in ~140–160	~$1
V	1 in ~140–160	~$1
V	1 in ~140–160	~$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1
V	1 in ~140–160	<$1

Silver Tempest pull rates

101 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	15	1 in 8–9	51–55%	65–70%	73–77%	99%
Trainer Gallery holo (non-V)	11	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
VMAX & VSTAR (any)	7	1 in 22–27	20–24%	29–34%	34–40%	74–81%
Radiant Rare	3	1 in 18–22	24–29%	34–40%	40–47%	81–87%
Trainer Gallery V & Trainer	17	1 in 32	17%	25%	29%	68%
Full Art V	14	1 in 48	12%	17%	21%	53%
Rainbow Rare	14	1 in 79–80	7.3–7.4%	11%	13%	36–37%
Full Art Trainer	8	1 in 99	5.9%	8.7%	11%	31%
Gold Secret	6	1 in 106	5.5%	8.2%	9.9%	29%
Trainer Gallery Gold VMAX	2	1 in 111	5.3%	7.8%	9.5%	28%
Alternate Art V	4	1 in 168	3.5%	5.2%	6.4%	19%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ’s independent 718-pack count; Trainer Gallery band splits are TCGplayer-only.

Top chase cards: Lugia V #186 (~$529 ungraded), Rayquaza VMAX #TG20 (~$197 ungraded), Lugia VSTAR #202 (~$40 ungraded), Blaziken VMAX #TG15 (~$35 ungraded), Unown V #177 (~$31 ungraded), Rayquaza VMAX #TG29 (~$32 ungraded).

Every Silver Tempest chase card — odds & value (101 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
ALTV	1 in ~672	~$529
ALTV	1 in ~672	~$31
ALTV	1 in ~672	~$29
ALTV	1 in ~672	~$11
TGGOLD	1 in ~222	~$32
TGGOLD	1 in ~222	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$28
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$6
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~636	~$2
FAT	1 in ~792	~$14
FAT	1 in ~792	~$6
FAT	1 in ~792	~$6
FAT	1 in ~792	~$5
FAT	1 in ~792	~$4
FAT	1 in ~792	~$4
FAT	1 in ~792	~$3
FAT	1 in ~792	~$2
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$40
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$25
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$15
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$11
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$8
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,106–1,120	~$4
FA	1 in ~672	~$18
FA	1 in ~672	~$11
FA	1 in ~672	~$8
FA	1 in ~672	~$7
FA	1 in ~672	~$5
FA	1 in ~672	~$4
FA	1 in ~672	~$3
FA	1 in ~672	~$3
FA	1 in ~672	~$3
FA	1 in ~672	~$3
FA	1 in ~672	~$2
FA	1 in ~672	~$2
FA	1 in ~672	~$2
FA	1 in ~672	~$2
TGV	1 in ~544	~$197
TGV	1 in ~544	~$35
TGV	1 in ~544	~$30
TGV	1 in ~544	~$22
TGV	1 in ~544	~$22
TGV	1 in ~544	~$16
TGV	1 in ~544	~$14
TGV	1 in ~544	~$13
TGV	1 in ~544	~$13
TGV	1 in ~544	~$10
TGV	1 in ~544	~$9
TGV	1 in ~544	~$6
TGV	1 in ~544	~$6
TGV	1 in ~544	~$5
TGV	1 in ~544	~$3
TGV	1 in ~544	~$2
TGV	1 in ~544	~$2
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$7
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$3
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$2
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$1
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$1
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$1
VMV	1 in ~154–189	~$1
RAD	1 in ~54–66	~$2
RAD	1 in ~54–66	~$2
RAD	1 in ~54–66	<$1
TGC	1 in ~132	~$9
TGC	1 in ~132	~$8
TGC	1 in ~132	~$6
TGC	1 in ~132	~$6
TGC	1 in ~132	~$6
TGC	1 in ~132	~$6
TGC	1 in ~132	~$5
TGC	1 in ~132	~$4
TGC	1 in ~132	~$4
TGC	1 in ~132	~$2
TGC	1 in ~132	~$2
V	1 in ~120–135	~$14
V	1 in ~120–135	~$4
V	1 in ~120–135	~$2
V	1 in ~120–135	~$1
V	1 in ~120–135	~$1
V	1 in ~120–135	~$1
V	1 in ~120–135	~$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1
V	1 in ~120–135	<$1

Astral Radiance pull rates

118 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	19	1 in 7–8	55–60%	70–75%	77–82%	99–>99%
Trainer Gallery holo (non-V)	12	1 in 12	41%	54%	62%	96%
Radiant Rare	3	1 in 18–21	25–29%	36–40%	42–47%	83–87%
Trainer Gallery V & Trainer	18	1 in 24	23%	32%	37%	78%
VMAX & VSTAR (any)	9	1 in 29	19%	27%	32%	72%
Full Art V & Trainer	24	1 in 47–54	11–12%	15–18%	19–21%	49–54%
Rainbow Rare	18	1 in 78–88	6.6–7.4%	9.8–11%	12–13%	34–37%
Gold Secret	9	1 in 130	4.5%	6.7%	8.1%	24%
Alternate Art V	6	1 in 135	4.4%	6.5%	7.9%	23%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ (615 packs) and Coded Yellow (108 packs) independent counts.

Top chase cards: Machamp V #172 (~$199 ungraded), Starmie V #TG13 (~$122 ungraded), Origin Forme Palkia V #167 (~$92 ungraded), Garchomp V #TG23 (~$81 ungraded), Beedrill V #161 (~$78 ungraded), Origin Forme Dialga V #177 (~$63 ungraded).

Every Astral Radiance chase card — odds & value (118 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$199
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$92
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$78
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$63
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$36
ALTV	1 in ~810	~$28
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$14
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$13
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$10
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$9
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$6
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$3
GOLD	1 in ~1,170	~$2
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$18
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$17
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$16
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$15
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$9
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$9
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$8
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$8
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$8
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$5
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,404–1,584	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$24
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$11
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$10
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$9
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$7
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$6
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$6
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$5
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$5
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$4
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$3
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$2
FA	1 in ~1,128–1,296	~$1
VMV	1 in ~261	~$7
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$2
VMV	1 in ~261	~$1
TGV	1 in ~432	~$122
TGV	1 in ~432	~$81
TGV	1 in ~432	~$21
TGV	1 in ~432	~$19
TGV	1 in ~432	~$17
TGV	1 in ~432	~$15
TGV	1 in ~432	~$12
TGV	1 in ~432	~$12
TGV	1 in ~432	~$10
TGV	1 in ~432	~$9
TGV	1 in ~432	~$9
TGV	1 in ~432	~$7
TGV	1 in ~432	~$6
TGV	1 in ~432	~$5
TGV	1 in ~432	~$5
TGV	1 in ~432	~$5
TGV	1 in ~432	~$4
TGV	1 in ~432	~$3
RAD	1 in ~54–63	~$3
RAD	1 in ~54–63	<$1
RAD	1 in ~54–63	<$1
TGC	1 in ~144	~$13
TGC	1 in ~144	~$9
TGC	1 in ~144	~$7
TGC	1 in ~144	~$5
TGC	1 in ~144	~$4
TGC	1 in ~144	~$4
TGC	1 in ~144	~$4
TGC	1 in ~144	~$4
TGC	1 in ~144	~$3
TGC	1 in ~144	~$3
TGC	1 in ~144	~$2
TGC	1 in ~144	~$2
V	1 in ~133–152	~$3
V	1 in ~133–152	~$2
V	1 in ~133–152	~$2
V	1 in ~133–152	~$2
V	1 in ~133–152	~$2
V	1 in ~133–152	~$1
V	1 in ~133–152	~$1
V	1 in ~133–152	~$1
V	1 in ~133–152	~$1
V	1 in ~133–152	~$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1
V	1 in ~133–152	<$1

Chilling Reign pull rates

70 chase cards

Alt-art rates rest on one large counted dataset (5,000 packs, 2021), with a small independent box count agreeing at bucket level. Regular V and gold tiers carry no published rate and are deliberately not shown.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
VMAX	8	1 in 24–36	16–23%	22–32%	27–37%	64–78%
Full Art V & Trainer	29	1 in 24–30	18–23%	26–32%	31–37%	70–78%
Alternate Art V	10	1 in 147	4.0%	6.0%	7.2%	22%
Rainbow Rare	20	1 in 122	4.8%	7.1%	8.7%	26%
Alternate Art VMAX	3	1 in 455	1.3%	2.0%	2.4%	7.6%

Odds from an independently counted 5,000-pack dataset (2021), corroborated at bucket level by a 72-pack box count.

Top chase cards: Blaziken VMAX #201 (~$386 ungraded), Galarian Moltres V #177 (~$235 ungraded), Galarian Slowking V #179 (~$115 ungraded), Zeraora V #166 (~$93 ungraded), Galarian Rapidash V #168 (~$90 ungraded), Galarian Articuno V #170 (~$76 ungraded).

Every Chilling Reign chase card — odds & value (70 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,365	~$386
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,365	~$66
ALTVMAX	1 in ~1,365	~$39
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$235
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$115
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$93
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$90
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$76
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$66
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$41
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$32
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$31
ALTV	1 in ~1,470	~$24
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$31
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$27
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$17
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$15
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$12
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$11
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$10
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$10
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$9
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$9
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$9
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$8
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$8
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$7
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$6
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$6
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$5
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$5
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$5
RR	1 in ~2,440	~$5
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$5
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$4
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$3
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$1
VMAX	1 in ~192–288	~$1
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$25
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$18
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$16
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$15
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$15
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$14
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$13
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$13
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$12
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$10
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$10
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$9
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$9
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$7
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$6
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$6
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$6
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$6
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$5
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$5
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$5
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$4
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$3
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$3
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$3
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$3
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$2
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$2
FA	1 in ~696–870	~$2

Fusion Strike pull rates

67 chase cards

The per-tier figures reconstruct TCGplayer’s 4,000-pack launch count, which was only ever published as an infographic, and are corroborated by one small independent box count. Alt arts, including Gengar VMAX, share their tier’s rate; their per-card odds are equal-share estimates.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	19	1 in 11	44%	58%	65%	97%
Full Art V & Trainer (incl. alt arts)	20	1 in 26	21%	30%	35%	76%
VMAX	8	1 in 26–27	20–21%	29–30%	34–35%	74–76%
Rainbow & Alt-Art VMAX	15	1 in 92	6.3%	9.4%	11%	33%
Gold Secret	5	1 in 120	4.9%	7.3%	8.8%	26%

Odds reconstruct TCGplayer’s 4,000+ pack launch dataset (published as an infographic), corroborated by an independent single-box count.

Top chase cards: Gengar VMAX #271 (~$1,021 ungraded), Espeon VMAX #270 (~$345 ungraded), Mew VMAX #269 (~$256 ungraded), Mew V #251 (~$105 ungraded), Mew VMAX #268 (~$103 ungraded), Celebi V #245 (~$80 ungraded).

Every Fusion Strike chase card — odds & value (67 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
GOLD	1 in ~600	~$8
GOLD	1 in ~600	~$8
GOLD	1 in ~600	~$7
GOLD	1 in ~600	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~600	~$1
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$1,021
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$345
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$256
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$103
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$27
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$11
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$9
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$7
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$6
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$5
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$4
RR	1 in ~1,380	~$4
FA	1 in ~520	~$105
FA	1 in ~520	~$80
FA	1 in ~520	~$35
FA	1 in ~520	~$27
FA	1 in ~520	~$16
FA	1 in ~520	~$5
FA	1 in ~520	~$4
FA	1 in ~520	~$4
FA	1 in ~520	~$4
FA	1 in ~520	~$3
FA	1 in ~520	~$3
FA	1 in ~520	~$3
FA	1 in ~520	~$2
FA	1 in ~520	~$2
FA	1 in ~520	~$2
FA	1 in ~520	~$2
FA	1 in ~520	~$2
FA	1 in ~520	~$1
FA	1 in ~520	~$1
FA	1 in ~520	~$1
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$44
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$16
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$3
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$3
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~208–216	~$2
V	1 in ~209	~$11
V	1 in ~209	~$5
V	1 in ~209	~$4
V	1 in ~209	~$3
V	1 in ~209	~$2
V	1 in ~209	~$1
V	1 in ~209	~$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1
V	1 in ~209	<$1

Shining Fates pull rates

149 chase cards

Every rate here comes from a single independently counted dataset (1,087 packs, 2021). No second count of meaningful size has been published for this set, so treat these odds as measured but uncorroborated.

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Shiny Vault (baby shiny)	104	1 in 4	82%	92%	96%	>99%
Pokemon V	8	1 in 9	51%	65%	73%	99%
Shiny Vault V	9	1 in 14	36%	49%	56%	93%
VMAX	6	1 in 19	28%	39%	45%	86%
Amazing Rare	3	1 in 19	28%	39%	45%	86%
Full Art V & Trainer	9	1 in 32	17%	25%	29%	68%
Shiny Vault VMAX	7	1 in 39	14%	21%	25%	61%
Rainbow Rare	1	1 in 91	6.4%	9.5%	11%	33%
Shiny Vault Gold	2	1 in 156	3.8%	5.6%	6.8%	21%

Odds from an independently counted 1,087-pack dataset (2021); no second count of meaningful size has been published.

Top chase cards: Charizard VMAX #SV107 (~$136 ungraded), Morpeko #SV044 (~$21 ungraded), Yamper #SV039 (~$18 ungraded), Galarian Ponyta #SV047 (~$17 ungraded), Suicune #SV022 (~$17 ungraded), Ditto VMAX #SV119 (~$15 ungraded).

Every Shining Fates chase card — odds & value (149 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
GOLD	1 in ~312	~$7
GOLD	1 in ~312	~$6
RR	1 in ~91	~$5
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$136
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$15
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$8
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$4
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$4
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$2
SHVM	1 in ~273	~$2
FA	1 in ~288	~$11
FA	1 in ~288	~$9
FA	1 in ~288	~$5
FA	1 in ~288	~$4
FA	1 in ~288	~$2
FA	1 in ~288	~$2
FA	1 in ~288	~$1
FA	1 in ~288	~$1
FA	1 in ~288	~$1
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$6
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$4
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~114	~$1
AMZ	1 in ~57	~$4
AMZ	1 in ~57	~$2
AMZ	1 in ~57	~$1
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$9
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$4
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$2
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$2
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$1
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$1
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$1
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$1
SHVV	1 in ~126	~$1
V	1 in ~72	~$2
V	1 in ~72	~$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
V	1 in ~72	<$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$21
SHV	1 in ~416	~$18
SHV	1 in ~416	~$17
SHV	1 in ~416	~$17
SHV	1 in ~416	~$14
SHV	1 in ~416	~$13
SHV	1 in ~416	~$12
SHV	1 in ~416	~$10
SHV	1 in ~416	~$10
SHV	1 in ~416	~$8
SHV	1 in ~416	~$8
SHV	1 in ~416	~$8
SHV	1 in ~416	~$7
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$6
SHV	1 in ~416	~$5
SHV	1 in ~416	~$5
SHV	1 in ~416	~$5
SHV	1 in ~416	~$5
SHV	1 in ~416	~$5
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$4
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$3
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$2
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1
SHV	1 in ~416	~$1

Vivid Voltage pull rates

61 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon V	11	1 in 8	55%	70%	77%	99%
Amazing Rare	6	1 in 18–19	28–29%	39–40%	45–47%	86–87%
VMAX	6	1 in 23–24	23%	32–33%	37–39%	78–80%
Full Art V & Trainer	20	1 in 25	22%	31%	36%	77%
Rainbow Rare	12	1 in 70–79	7.4–8.3%	11–12%	13–15%	37–40%
Gold Secret	6	1 in 91–95	6.2–6.4%	9.1–9.5%	11%	32–33%

Odds from an independently counted 2,184-pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ’s 630-pack count, in close agreement on every tier.

Top chase cards: Pikachu VMAX #188 (~$177 ungraded), Pikachu V #170 (~$47 ungraded), Rayquaza #138 (~$25 ungraded), Pokémon Center Lady #185 (~$23 ungraded), Pikachu VMAX #44 (~$13 ungraded), Togekiss VMAX #191 (~$13 ungraded).

Every Vivid Voltage chase card — odds & value (61 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$7
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$4
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$2
GOLD	1 in ~546–570	~$2
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$177
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$13
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$11
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$8
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$7
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$7
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$7
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$6
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$6
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$5
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$5
RR	1 in ~840–948	~$4
FA	1 in ~500	~$47
FA	1 in ~500	~$23
FA	1 in ~500	~$10
FA	1 in ~500	~$9
FA	1 in ~500	~$9
FA	1 in ~500	~$8
FA	1 in ~500	~$5
FA	1 in ~500	~$5
FA	1 in ~500	~$5
FA	1 in ~500	~$5
FA	1 in ~500	~$4
FA	1 in ~500	~$3
FA	1 in ~500	~$3
FA	1 in ~500	~$3
FA	1 in ~500	~$3
FA	1 in ~500	~$2
FA	1 in ~500	~$2
FA	1 in ~500	~$2
FA	1 in ~500	~$2
FA	1 in ~500	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$13
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$2
VMAX	1 in ~138–144	~$1
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$25
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$9
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$7
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$7
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$5
AMZ	1 in ~108–114	~$3
V	1 in ~88	~$2
V	1 in ~88	~$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1
V	1 in ~88	<$1

Paldea Evolved pull rates

SIR 1 in 32–35 · 86 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 7	60%	75%	82%	>99%
Illustration Rare	36	1 in 12–13	38–41%	51–54%	59–62%	94–96%
Ultra Rare	26	1 in 13–15	34–38%	46–51%	53–59%	92–94%
Special Illustration Rare	15	1 in 32–35	16–17%	23–25%	27–29%	65–68%
Hyper Rare	9	1 in 42–57	10–13%	15–19%	18–23%	47–58%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset cross-checked with DigitalTQ (627 packs) and Coded Yellow (108 packs) independent counts.

Top chase cards: Magikarp #203 (~$375 ungraded), Raichu #211 (~$102 ungraded), Maushold #226 (~$98 ungraded), Tyranitar #222 (~$73 ungraded), Sprigatito #196 (~$60 ungraded), Iono #269 (~$55 ungraded).

Every Paldea Evolved chase card — odds & value (86 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$11
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$11
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$9
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$7
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$6
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$6
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$4
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$3
HR	1 in ~378–513	~$2
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$56
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$55
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$55
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$35
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$32
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$30
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$21
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$19
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$16
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$15
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$14
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$12
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$11
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$9
SIR	1 in ~480–525	~$5
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$15
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$12
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$10
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$10
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$9
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$6
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$5
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$5
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$4
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$4
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$3
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$3
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$3
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$2
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	~$1
UR	1 in ~338–390	<$1
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$375
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$102
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$98
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$73
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$60
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$53
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$52
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$38
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$35
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$33
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$33
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$32
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$32
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$25
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$23
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$22
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$21
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$20
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$18
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$18
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$17
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$17
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$16
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$15
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$14
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$14
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$13
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$12
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$12
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$11
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$11
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$10
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$8
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$8
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$6
IR	1 in ~432–468	~$6

Scarlet & Violet pull rates

SIR 1 in 32 · 60 chase cards

Rarity	In set	Per pack	Bundle (6)	ETB (9)	PC ETB (11)	Box (36)
Pokemon ex (Double Rare)	—	1 in 7	60%	75%	82%	>99%
Illustration Rare	24	1 in 13	38%	51%	59%	94%
Ultra Rare	20	1 in 15	34%	46%	53%	92%
Special Illustration Rare	10	1 in 32	17%	25%	29%	68%
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 52–54	11%	15–16%	19%	49–50%

Odds from TCGplayer’s 8,000+ pack dataset and DigitalTQ’s independent 676-pack count, within a third of a point on every tier.

Top chase cards: Gardevoir ex #245 (~$72 ungraded), Drowzee #210 (~$61 ungraded), Ralts #211 (~$42 ungraded), Kirlia #212 (~$43 ungraded), Slowpoke #204 (~$39 ungraded), Riolu #215 (~$33 ungraded).

Every Scarlet & Violet chase card — odds & value (60 cards)

Odds are for pulling that exact card, assuming an equal share of its rarity tier. Values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices, refreshed daily. Tap a card name to see it.

Rarity	Odds per pack	Value
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$8
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$7
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$6
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$5
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$3
HR	1 in ~312–324	~$3
SIR	1 in ~320	~$72
SIR	1 in ~320	~$25
SIR	1 in ~320	~$24
SIR	1 in ~320	~$24
SIR	1 in ~320	~$14
SIR	1 in ~320	~$10
SIR	1 in ~320	~$6
SIR	1 in ~320	~$6
SIR	1 in ~320	~$5
SIR	1 in ~320	~$4
UR	1 in ~300	~$14
UR	1 in ~300	~$10
UR	1 in ~300	~$6
UR	1 in ~300	~$5
UR	1 in ~300	~$3
UR	1 in ~300	~$3
UR	1 in ~300	~$3
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$2
UR	1 in ~300	~$1
UR	1 in ~300	~$1
UR	1 in ~300	~$1
UR	1 in ~300	~$1
UR	1 in ~300	~$1
IR	1 in ~312	~$61
IR	1 in ~312	~$43
IR	1 in ~312	~$42
IR	1 in ~312	~$39
IR	1 in ~312	~$33
IR	1 in ~312	~$26
IR	1 in ~312	~$22
IR	1 in ~312	~$20
IR	1 in ~312	~$18
IR	1 in ~312	~$16
IR	1 in ~312	~$15
IR	1 in ~312	~$14
IR	1 in ~312	~$14
IR	1 in ~312	~$12
IR	1 in ~312	~$10
IR	1 in ~312	~$9
IR	1 in ~312	~$9
IR	1 in ~312	~$8
IR	1 in ~312	~$8
IR	1 in ~312	~$7
IR	1 in ~312	~$7
IR	1 in ~312	~$6
IR	1 in ~312	~$5
IR	1 in ~312	~$5

30th Celebration

rates not yet published

Pull rates for 30th Celebration haven't been published yet — every card in the set is foil, and each booster pack includes 1 of 30 Pikachu rare cards. We'll add it to the calculator as soon as reliable rates land.

Shop 30th Celebration

Pokemon god pack odds

A god pack is a booster in which every card is a top-rarity hit. They exist only in sets whose print run includes them, and the odds differ per set. For the sets this calculator covers:

Ascended Heroes — roughly 1 in 950–1,000 packs, containing 9 Special Illustration Rares and 1 Mega Hyper Rare. This figure comes from community-tracked openings and is the best-sourced god pack rate in the Mega era.

Prismatic Evolutions — community estimates put it around 1 in 1,500–4,000 packs. No large tracker has published verified odds, which is why the range is wide and we label it an estimate.

No other set on this page has a confirmed god pack: none have been reported for the other English Mega-era or Scarlet & Violet sets here, or for Storm Emeralda. If a set is missing from this list, treat any god pack claim you read elsewhere with suspicion.

How rare is a Special Illustration Rare?

A Special Illustration Rare (SIR) is the alternate-art chase tier in modern Pokemon TCG sets: full-art cards with unique extended artwork, and usually the most valuable pulls in the set. Rarity is not fixed across the game — it depends entirely on which set you are opening:

Pitch Black: 1 in 80–125 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Chaos Rising: 1 in 80–85 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Perfect Order: 1 in 70–90 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Ascended Heroes: 1 in 67–110 packs for any of its 22 SIRs
Phantasmal Flames: 1 in 80 packs for any of its 5 SIRs
Mega Evolution: 1 in 101 packs for any of its 10 SIRs
Destined Rivals: 1 in 94 packs for any of its 11 SIRs
Prismatic Evolutions: 1 in 45–53 packs for any of its 32 SIRs
Surging Sparks: 1 in 80–90 packs for any of its 11 SIRs
Pokémon 151: 1 in 32 packs for any of its 7 SIRs
Storm Emeralda: 1 in 90–690 packs for any of its 6 Special Art Rares
Journey Together: 1 in 86–100 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Stellar Crown: 1 in 90 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Shrouded Fable: 1 in 50–64 packs for any of its 5 SIRs
Twilight Masquerade: 1 in 86 packs for any of its 11 SIRs
Temporal Forces: 1 in 63–86 packs for any of its 10 SIRs
Paldean Fates: 1 in 58–67 packs for any of its 8 SIRs
Paradox Rift: 1 in 47–52 packs for any of its 15 SIRs
Obsidian Flames: 1 in 27–32 packs for any of its 6 SIRs
Paldea Evolved: 1 in 32–35 packs for any of its 15 SIRs
Scarlet & Violet: 1 in 32 packs for any of its 10 SIRs

Odds for one specific SIR are longer still: divide the tier rate by the number of SIRs in the pool. In Prismatic Evolutions that puts a specific card like Umbreon ex around 1 in 1,450–1,700 packs. The per-card odds for every set are in the expandable chase-card tables above.

How these odds are calculated

Each rarity has a per-pack rate — for example, "1 in 67 packs". The chance of hitting at least one across a product is 1 − (1 − 1/67)^packs: eleven Pokemon Center ETB packs at 1-in-67 gives about a 15% chance. Opening more packs never guarantees a hit; it only shifts the odds.

Odds for a specific card assume every card in its rarity tier is equally likely — a set with 6 SIRs at 1-in-67 puts any one of them around 1 in 402 packs. Real print runs can weight individual cards slightly, so treat specific-card odds as good estimates rather than exact figures.

Rates come from community-tracked pack openings collated in our per-set pull-rates guides, cross-checked against set data from pokemontcg.io. Where the community data supports a range rather than a single figure, we show the range. The Pokemon Company doesn't publish official pull rates, and no retailer — including us — can guarantee what's inside sealed product.

Card values are ungraded TCGplayer market prices in USD, synced automatically every day; products on Evol Vault are priced in GBP. A price shown here is the market rate at the last sync, not a quote from us.

Rates last reviewed: 18 July 2026 · Prices last synced: 11 Sep 2026

Use this calculator on your own site

Running a Pokemon TCG site, a set guide or a YouTube description page? Drop the calculator straight into it. Two lines of HTML, no account, no API key, no cost — and it stays up to date on its own as new sets are added.

Paste this where you want the calculator

<div class="evol-pull-rate-calculator">
  Pokemon TCG pull rate calculator by <a href="https://evolvault.com/pages/pokemon-pull-rate-calculator?ref=embed">Evol Vault</a>
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It sizes itself to your column, matches light or dark pages automatically, loads nothing else, and adds no tracking. Options: data-theme="light" or "dark" to force a palette, data-set="pitch-black" to open on one set, and data-sets="pitch-black,chaos-rising" to limit the picker — all on the <div>. Free to use on any site; the only condition is that the credit link stays.

Shop sealed Pokemon TCG Read the pull-rate guides

PULL RATE FAQ

Pull rates, answered

How the calculator works, where the numbers come from, and what they can and can't tell you.

How accurate are these pull rates?

The Pokemon Company doesn't publish official pull rates, so every figure here comes from large community-tracked samples of real pack openings, collated in our per-set guides and cross-checked against set data. Where the sample supports a range rather than a single number, we show the range — treat everything as a well-evidenced estimate, not a promise.

Does a booster box guarantee a Special Illustration Rare?

No. A 36-pack booster box gives you roughly a one-in-three to one-in-two chance at an SIR depending on the set — good odds, but nothing in sealed Pokemon TCG product is guaranteed. Every pack is independent, so opening more packs improves your odds without ever locking in a hit.

Are Pokemon Center ETBs better odds than retail ETBs?

Per pack, the odds are identical — Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Boxes pull from the same print run. The difference is volume and extras: a Pokemon Center ETB contains 11 packs against the retail version's 9, plus an exclusive stamped promo card, so your odds of a big hit per box are higher simply because you're opening more packs.

How do you work out the odds for one specific card?

We take the rarity tier's per-pack rate and spread it evenly across every card in that tier. If SIRs land 1 in 67 packs and the set has 6 SIRs, any one specific SIR works out around 1 in 402 packs. Real print runs can weight individual cards slightly, so specific-card odds are estimates.

Why do some sets show a range instead of a single number?

Community samples don't always converge on one figure — different tracking projects land on slightly different rates. When that happens we show the honest range (for example 1 in 70–90 packs) instead of inventing false precision. Pre-release sets use estimates from the Japanese print run until English data lands.

Do you guarantee specific pulls or card condition inside sealed products?

No. Pull rates and card condition inside factory-sealed Pokemon TCG products are set by the manufacturer. We cannot guarantee specific cards, hits, or grading outcomes — this calculator exists so you can make an informed call before you buy.

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Pokemon TCG Pull Rate Calculator

Pull rates by set

Pitch Black pull rates

Chaos Rising pull rates

Perfect Order pull rates

Ascended Heroes pull rates

Phantasmal Flames pull rates

Mega Evolution pull rates

Destined Rivals pull rates

Prismatic Evolutions pull rates

Surging Sparks pull rates

Pokémon 151 pull rates

Storm Emeralda pull rates

Evolving Skies pull rates

Crown Zenith pull rates

Journey Together pull rates

Stellar Crown pull rates

Shrouded Fable pull rates

Twilight Masquerade pull rates

Temporal Forces pull rates

Paldean Fates pull rates

Paradox Rift pull rates

Obsidian Flames pull rates

Lost Origin pull rates

Brilliant Stars pull rates

Silver Tempest pull rates

Astral Radiance pull rates

Chilling Reign pull rates

Fusion Strike pull rates

Shining Fates pull rates

Vivid Voltage pull rates

Paldea Evolved pull rates

Scarlet & Violet pull rates

30th Celebration

Pokemon god pack odds

How rare is a Special Illustration Rare?

How these odds are calculated

Use this calculator on your own site

Pull rates, answered